Preseason Rankings
Eastern Washington
Big Sky
2018-19
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#174
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.5#269
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#137
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#227
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% 18.3% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Average Seed 14.3 13.3 14.4
.500 or above 59.3% 84.9% 58.3%
.500 or above in Conference 75.3% 90.3% 74.7%
Conference Champion 10.9% 22.5% 10.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 0.4% 2.0%
First Four1.2% 0.9% 1.2%
First Round8.8% 17.5% 8.5%
Second Round1.0% 1.8% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Syracuse (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0.1 - 1.70.1 - 1.7
Quad 1b0.2 - 1.50.2 - 3.2
Quad 20.6 - 2.50.8 - 5.7
Quad 33.1 - 4.63.9 - 10.3
Quad 411.6 - 4.215.5 - 14.5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 12   @ Syracuse L 58-74 4%    
  Nov 09, 2018 17   @ Oregon L 64-78 6%    
  Nov 16, 2018 235   Green Bay W 77-73 72%    
  Nov 17, 2018 279   UMKC W 75-69 79%    
  Nov 27, 2018 42   @ Washington L 67-78 11%    
  Dec 01, 2018 244   @ Seattle W 72-68 54%    
  Dec 08, 2018 199   @ North Dakota St. W 70-68 45%    
  Dec 13, 2018 137   @ San Francisco L 67-70 31%    
  Dec 15, 2018 108   @ Stanford L 70-74 25%    
  Dec 18, 2018 79   South Dakota St. L 72-79 37%    
  Dec 29, 2018 147   Weber St. L 70-72 54%    
  Dec 31, 2018 247   Idaho St. W 74-70 74%    
  Jan 03, 2019 262   @ Idaho W 70-65 57%    
  Jan 07, 2019 172   @ Northern Colorado L 73-74 40%    
  Jan 10, 2019 73   Montana L 68-76 35%    
  Jan 19, 2019 251   Montana St. W 76-71 75%    
  Jan 24, 2019 246   @ Portland St. W 80-76 53%    
  Jan 26, 2019 257   @ Sacramento St. W 71-66 57%    
  Feb 02, 2019 295   Southern Utah W 78-71 79%    
  Feb 04, 2019 326   Northern Arizona W 74-64 86%    
  Feb 07, 2019 251   @ Montana St. W 76-71 55%    
  Feb 09, 2019 73   @ Montana L 68-76 19%    
  Feb 16, 2019 172   Northern Colorado L 73-74 59%    
  Feb 18, 2019 262   Idaho W 70-65 74%    
  Feb 21, 2019 295   @ Southern Utah W 78-71 63%    
  Feb 23, 2019 326   @ Northern Arizona W 74-64 71%    
  Feb 28, 2019 257   Sacramento St. W 71-66 74%    
  Mar 02, 2019 246   Portland St. W 80-76 71%    
  Mar 07, 2019 247   @ Idaho St. W 74-70 54%    
  Mar 09, 2019 147   @ Weber St. L 70-72 35%    
Projected Record 15.5 - 14.5 11.8 - 8.2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.5 2.7 2.2 1.0 0.3 10.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.2 5.0 3.7 1.5 0.3 17.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 3.4 5.5 4.4 1.9 0.4 0.0 16.6 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.9 5.1 3.3 0.8 0.1 14.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.8 4.7 1.8 0.3 0.0 11.9 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 3.1 3.4 1.3 0.2 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.3 2.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.9 2.1 0.5 0.1 5.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.5 0.0 4.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 1.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.0 3.1 4.4 6.0 7.6 9.1 11.0 10.9 11.1 9.9 8.6 6.6 4.2 2.5 1.0 0.3 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
19-1 100.0% 1.0    1.0 0.0
18-2 87.7% 2.2    1.8 0.3
17-3 64.6% 2.7    1.7 1.0 0.0
16-4 38.2% 2.5    1.3 1.1 0.1
15-5 18.9% 1.6    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.0
14-6 4.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1
13-7 0.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 10.9% 10.9 6.7 3.4 0.7 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.3% 74.7% 61.5% 13.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 34.1%
19-1 1.0% 54.6% 51.0% 3.6% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 7.3%
18-2 2.5% 41.3% 40.5% 0.7% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.5 1.2%
17-3 4.2% 29.6% 29.5% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.0 0.0%
16-4 6.6% 18.9% 18.9% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.1 5.3 0.0%
15-5 8.6% 16.2% 16.2% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 7.2
14-6 9.9% 13.8% 13.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 8.5
13-7 11.1% 7.8% 7.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 10.2
12-8 10.9% 5.1% 5.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 10.3
11-9 11.0% 4.1% 4.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 10.6
10-10 9.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.0
9-11 7.6% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.1 7.5
8-12 6.0% 1.0% 1.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 5.9
7-13 4.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.4
6-14 3.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.1
5-15 2.0% 2.0
4-16 1.0% 1.0
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.2% 9.1% 0.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.5 2.2 2.3 2.3 90.8 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%